%0 Conference Paper
%K Residential
%K Developing countries
%K Appliance ownership
%K End uses
%K Households
%K Econo­metric model
%A Virginie E Letschert
%A Michael A McNeil
%B ECEEE 2009 SUMMER STUDY
%D 2009
%G eng
%I European Council for an Energy Efficient Economy
%T Material world: forecasting household appliance ownership in a growing global economy
%U https://www.eceee.org/static/media/uploads/site-2/library/conference_proceedings/eceee_Summer_Studies/2009/Panel_8/8.364/paper.pdf
%X <p><span>This paper presents a methodology for modeling residential </span><span>appliance uptake as a function of macroeconomic variables, </span><span>and presents forecasts of appliance diffusion through 2030 </span><span>for several scenarios of economic (GDP) growth.</span> T<span>he approach followed allows the modeler to construct a </span><span>bottom-&shy;up analysis based at the end use and the household </span><span>level. It captures the appliance uptake and the saturation effect </span><span>which will affect the energy demand growth in the residen&shy;</span><span>tial sector. With this approach, the modeler can also account </span><span>for stock changes in technology and efficiency as a function </span><span>of time. </span></p>