A large-scale transition to alternative fuels and vehicles is challenging. New modeling approaches are necessary to supplement existing mod-els, such as MARKAL. One promising approach is simulation gam-ing. Simulation gaming has been used extensively in many fields, most conspicuously in military applications, to provide insights into the dynamics of uncertain processes. A large-scale game to simulate tran-sitions to alternative fuels and vehicles was developed to explore the potential of this approach. Preliminary results of the game play suggest a possible counterintuitive dynamic: high energy prices can discourage the wide-scale adoption of alternative fuel vehicles because increased fuel costs reduce consumers’ ability to pay for more costly alternative vehicle technologies.
BT - Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board DA - 01/2013 DO - 10.3141/2385-08 IS - 1 LA - eng N2 -A large-scale transition to alternative fuels and vehicles is challenging. New modeling approaches are necessary to supplement existing mod-els, such as MARKAL. One promising approach is simulation gam-ing. Simulation gaming has been used extensively in many fields, most conspicuously in military applications, to provide insights into the dynamics of uncertain processes. A large-scale game to simulate tran-sitions to alternative fuels and vehicles was developed to explore the potential of this approach. Preliminary results of the game play suggest a possible counterintuitive dynamic: high energy prices can discourage the wide-scale adoption of alternative fuel vehicles because increased fuel costs reduce consumers’ ability to pay for more costly alternative vehicle technologies.
PY - 2013 SP - 61 EP - 69 ST - Transportation Research Record T2 - Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board TI - New Approach to Modeling Large-Scale Transitions to Alternative Fuels and Vehicles UR - http://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.3141/2385-08http://journals.sagepub.com/doi/pdf/10.3141/2385-08http://trb.metapress.com/index/AH61863Q21282M27.pdfhttp://journals.sagepub.com/doi/pdf/10.3141/2385-08 VL - 2385 SN - 0361-1981 ER -