TY - JOUR KW - Energy efficiency KW - Building KW - Transport KW - China KW - Data KW - Industry KW - CO2 emissions reduction KW - Non-fossil fuels KW - Paris Agreement KW - Modeling and pathways AU - Nan Zhou AU - Lynn K Price AU - Dai Yande AU - Jon Creyts AU - Nina Khanna AU - David Fridley AU - Hongyou Lu AU - Wei Feng AU - Xu Liu AU - Ali Hasanbeigi AU - Zhiyu Tian AU - Hongwei Yang AU - Quan Bai AU - Yuezhong Zhu AU - Huawen Xiong AU - Jianguo Zhang AU - Kate Chrisman AU - Josh Agenbroad AU - Yi Ke AU - Robert McIntosh AU - David Mullaney AU - Clay Stranger AU - Eric Wanless AU - Daniel Wetzel AU - Cyril Yee AU - Ellen Franconi AB -

As part of its Paris Agreement commitment, China pledged to peak carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions around 2030, striving to peak earlier, and to increase the non-fossil share of primary energy to 20% by 2030. Yet by the end of 2017, China emitted 28% of the world’s energy-related CO2 emissions, 76% of which were from coal use. How China can reinvent its energy economy cost-effectively while still achieving its commitments was the focus of a three-year joint research project completed in September 2016. Overall, this analysis found that if China follows a pathway in which it aggressively adopts all cost-effective energy efficiency and CO2 emission reduction technologies while also aggressively moving away from fossil fuels to renewable and other non-fossil resources, it is possible to not only meet its Paris Agreement Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) commitments, but also to reduce its 2050 CO2 emissions to a level that is 42% below the country’s 2010 CO2emissions. While numerous barriers exist that will need to be addressed through effective policies and programs in order to realize these potential energy use and emissions reductions, there are also significant local environmental (e.g., air quality), national and global environmental (e.g., mitigation of climate change), human health, and other unquantified benefits that will be realized if this pathway is pursued in China.

BT - Applied Energy DA - 04/2019 DO - 10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.154 LA - eng N2 -

As part of its Paris Agreement commitment, China pledged to peak carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions around 2030, striving to peak earlier, and to increase the non-fossil share of primary energy to 20% by 2030. Yet by the end of 2017, China emitted 28% of the world’s energy-related CO2 emissions, 76% of which were from coal use. How China can reinvent its energy economy cost-effectively while still achieving its commitments was the focus of a three-year joint research project completed in September 2016. Overall, this analysis found that if China follows a pathway in which it aggressively adopts all cost-effective energy efficiency and CO2 emission reduction technologies while also aggressively moving away from fossil fuels to renewable and other non-fossil resources, it is possible to not only meet its Paris Agreement Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) commitments, but also to reduce its 2050 CO2 emissions to a level that is 42% below the country’s 2010 CO2emissions. While numerous barriers exist that will need to be addressed through effective policies and programs in order to realize these potential energy use and emissions reductions, there are also significant local environmental (e.g., air quality), national and global environmental (e.g., mitigation of climate change), human health, and other unquantified benefits that will be realized if this pathway is pursued in China.

PY - 2019 SP - 793 EP - 819 ST - Applied Energy T2 - Applied Energy TI - A roadmap for China to peak carbon dioxide emissions and achieve a 20% share of non-fossil fuels in primary energy by 2030 VL - 239 SN - 03062619 ER -