TY - JOUR AU - Heather Graven AU - Marc L Fischer AU - T Lueker AU - Seongeun Jeong AU - Tom Guilderson AU - Ralph Keeling AU - Ray P Bambha AU - Kieran Brophy AU - W Callahan AU - Xinguang Cui AU - C Frankenberg AU - Kevin R Gurney AU - Brian W LaFranchi AU - Scott J Lehman AU - Hope A Michelsen AU - John B Miller AU - Sally Newman AU - W Paplawsky AU - Nicholas Parazoo AU - Christopher D Sloop AU - S.J Walker AB -

Analysis systems incorporating atmospheric observations could provide a powerful tool for validating fossil fuel CO2 (ffCO2) emissions reported for individual regions, provided that fossil fuel sources can be separated from other CO2 sources or sinks and atmospheric transport can be accurately accounted for. We quantified ffCO2 by measuring radiocarbon (14C) in CO2, an accurate fossil-carbon tracer, at nine observation sites in California for three months in 2014–15. There is strong agreement between the measurements and ffCO2 simulated using a high-resolution atmospheric model and a spatiotemporally-resolved fossil fuel flux estimate. Inverse estimates of total in-state ffCO2 emissions are consistent with the California Air Resources Board's reported ffCO2 emissions, providing tentative validation of California's reported ffCO2 emissions in 2014–15. Continuing this prototype analysis system could provide critical independent evaluation of reported ffCO2 emissions and emissions reductions in California, and the system could be expanded to other, more data-poor regions.

BT - Environmental Research Letters DA - 01/2018 DO - 10.1088/1748-9326/aabd43 IS - 6 LA - eng N2 -

Analysis systems incorporating atmospheric observations could provide a powerful tool for validating fossil fuel CO2 (ffCO2) emissions reported for individual regions, provided that fossil fuel sources can be separated from other CO2 sources or sinks and atmospheric transport can be accurately accounted for. We quantified ffCO2 by measuring radiocarbon (14C) in CO2, an accurate fossil-carbon tracer, at nine observation sites in California for three months in 2014–15. There is strong agreement between the measurements and ffCO2 simulated using a high-resolution atmospheric model and a spatiotemporally-resolved fossil fuel flux estimate. Inverse estimates of total in-state ffCO2 emissions are consistent with the California Air Resources Board's reported ffCO2 emissions, providing tentative validation of California's reported ffCO2 emissions in 2014–15. Continuing this prototype analysis system could provide critical independent evaluation of reported ffCO2 emissions and emissions reductions in California, and the system could be expanded to other, more data-poor regions.

PY - 2018 EP - 065007 ST - Environ. Res. Lett. T2 - Environmental Research Letters TI - Assessing fossil fuel CO 2 emissions in California using atmospheric observations and models VL - 13 ER -