@article{35122,
  keywords = {China, Transportation decarbonization, Heavy-duty trucking},
  author = {Nina Khanna and Hongyou Lu and David Fridley and Nan Zhou},
  title = {Near and long‑term perspectives on strategies to decarbonize China’s heavy‑duty trucks through 2050},
  abstract = {<p>China needs to drastically reduce carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions from heavy-duty trucks (HDTs), a<br />key emitter in the growing transport sector, in order to address energy security concerns and meet<br />its climate targets. We address existing research gaps by modeling feasibility, applicability, and<br />energy and emissions impacts of multiple decarbonization strategies at different points in time. China<br />still relies heavily on coal power, so impacts of new HDT technologies depend on the timing of their<br />introduction relative to progress toward non-fossil power. We use a bottom-up model to simulate HDT<br />energy consumption and CO2 emissions through 2050. Results show that beginning to deploy battery<br />electric and fuel-cell HDTs as early as 2020 and 2035, respectively, could achieve significant and the<br />largest CO2 emissions reduction by 2050 with a decarbonized power sector. However, viable near-term<br />strategies—improving efficiency and logistics, switching to liquefied natural gas—could halve HDTs’<br />current diesel consumption and CO2 emissions by 2050. Our results underscore the need for a mix of<br />near- and long-term policy and technology options to decarbonize China’s HDTs.</p>},
  year = {2021},
  journal = {Nature Scientific Reports},
  volume = {11},
  month = {10/2021},
  url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-021-99715-w},
  doi = {https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-99715-w},
  language = {eng},
}