@techreport{35040,
  keywords = {China, U.S., Decarbonization, Roadmap, Carbon neutrality},
  author = {Nina Khanna and Nan Zhou and Lynn K Price},
  title = {Getting to Net Zero- China Report : Pathways Toward Carbon Neutrality A Review of Recent Studies on Mid-Century Emissions Transition Scenarios For China},
  abstract = {<p>This report, led by authors from Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory{\textquoteright}s China Energy Group in partnership with California-China Climate Institute, reviews, compares and analyzes ten different carbon neutrality pathways and while there{\textquoteright}s significant variation in the underlying assumptions in these studies, several overarching trends emerge. Energy consumption in China, for example, is projected to peak by 2025 in most 1.5{\textdegree}C compatible scenarios and by 2030 in most 2{\textdegree}C compatible scenarios, with consumption flat to 30 percent below today{\textquoteright}s level by 2050. Meanwhile, across all studies carbon dioxide emissions are expected to peak between 2020 and 2030 (by 2020 in nearly all 1.5{\textdegree}C scenarios and by 2030 for 2{\textdegree}C scenarios). Remaining carbon dioxide<sub>\&nbsp;</sub>emissions in 2050 depend, in part, on assumptions about emission targets and deployment of negative emission technologies.</p><p>\&nbsp;</p><p>The report also outlines a number of key\&nbsp;decarbonization strategies in China\&nbsp;{\textendash}\&nbsp;many of which overlap with the actions identified in the U.S. report\&nbsp;{\textendash}\&nbsp;including: improving\&nbsp;energy efficiency and demand reduction; accelerating electrification and power sector decarbonization; scaling up deployment of alternative clean fuels; and pursuing terrestrial and geological sequestration.</p><p>\&nbsp;</p><p>While the targets and actions needed to decarbonize are relatively clear, China, like the U.S., faces myriad challenges to make this shift a reality. For example, China{\textquoteright}s energy-related carbon dioxide emissions grew 4-fold in the 30 years between 1990 and 2020. Yet, all future scenarios envision a rapid peaking in the next 10-20 years while China{\textquoteright}s economy continues to grow\&nbsp;{\textendash}\&nbsp;with GDP expected to increase 3.5-4-fold by 2050. There is also significant uncertainty around the pace, scale, and cost of new technology and alternative fuel RD\&amp;D to help address hard-to-decarbonize sectors and processes, particularly in transport and industry; the role of lifestyle and behavior changes in contributing to demand reduction and future trends in non-energy carbon dioxide emissions, non-carbon dioxide emissions, and sequestration. Given these issues, the report concludes that both the U.S. and China will benefit from further coordination and collaboration on carbon neutrality.</p>},
  year = {2021},
  month = {07/2021},
  language = {eng},
}