@techreport{34412,
author = {Mark Bolinger and Joachim Seel and Dana Robson and Cody Warner},
title = {Utility-Scale Solar Data Update: 2020 Edition},
abstract = {
Berkeley Lab{\textquoteright}s 2020 update of utility-scale solar data and trends provides an overview of key trends in the U.S. market, with a focus on 2019. Highlights of this year{\textquoteright}s update include:
- More than 4.5 GWAC of utility-scale solar (i.e., ground-mounted solar projects larger than 5 MWAC) achieved commercial operations in 2019, bringing cumulative capacity to 29 GWAC.\ Projects are spread across all 10 regions that we track, though more heavily concentrated in the sunniest regions.\
- The median installed cost of projects that came online in 2019 fell to $1.4/WAC ($1.2/WDC), down 20\% from 2018 and down by more than 70\% from 2010. 77\% of projects and 88\% of capacity added in 2019 used single-axis tracking.\
- Average capacity factors range from 17\% in the least-sunny regions to 30\% where it is sunniest.\ Single-axis tracking adds roughly five percentage points to capacity factor in the regions with the strongest solar resource.
- Nationwide average levelized power purchase agreement (PPA) prices fell to $24/MWh in 2019, down 17\% from 2018 and more than 80\% since 2010. Thirty-nine projects (totaling 4.2 GWAC) in our PPA price sample include battery storage (totaling 2.3 GWAC and 9.5 GWh). In the {\textquotedblleft}lower 48{\textquotedblright} states, a number of these recent PV+battery PPAs have been inked in the mid-$20/MWh range (levelized in 2019 dollars).
- Not including the 30\% investment tax credit (ITC), the median levelized cost of energy (LCOE) from utility-scale PV has declined by 85\% since 2010, to $40/MWh in 2019. When the 30\% ITC is included within the LCOE calculation, the median LCOE closely tracks the median PPA price over time.
- In higher-penetration markets like CAISO, the value of solar has been declining, but falling PPA prices have largely kept pace, preserving solar{\textquoteright}s net value.
- At the end of 2019, there were nearly 370 GW of solar in interconnection queues from all 7 ISOs and 30 additional utilities across the country. Nearly a third of this proposed solar capacity is paired with battery storage.
For more information and to explore related interactive data visualizations, go to utilityscalesolar.lbl.gov.
\
},
year = {2020},
month = {11/2020},
url = {https://emp.lbl.gov/utility-scale-solar},
note = {A webinar recorded December 8, 2020, featuring data and analysis from our\ utility-scale solar\ and\ utility-scale wind\ market tracking products can be viewed\ here.\
},
language = {eng},
}