@article{32275, author = {Joel Bremson and Alan K Meier and C.-Y Cynthia Lin and Joan Ogden}, title = {New Approach to Modeling Large-Scale Transitions to Alternative Fuels and Vehicles}, abstract = {

A large-scale transition to alternative fuels and vehicles is challenging. New modeling approaches are necessary to supplement existing mod-els, such as MARKAL. One promising approach is simulation gam-ing. Simulation gaming has been used extensively in many fields, most conspicuously in military applications, to provide insights into the dynamics of uncertain processes. A large-scale game to simulate tran-sitions to alternative fuels and vehicles was developed to explore the potential of this approach. Preliminary results of the game play suggest a possible counterintuitive dynamic: high energy prices can discourage the wide-scale adoption of alternative fuel vehicles because increased fuel costs reduce consumers’ ability to pay for more costly alternative vehicle technologies.

}, year = {2013}, journal = {Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board}, volume = {2385}, pages = {61 - 69}, month = {01/2013}, issn = {0361-1981}, url = {http://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.3141/2385-08http://journals.sagepub.com/doi/pdf/10.3141/2385-08http://trb.metapress.com/index/AH61863Q21282M27.pdfhttp://journals.sagepub.com/doi/pdf/10.3141/2385-08}, doi = {10.3141/2385-08}, language = {eng}, }