@article{31454,
  keywords = {energy efficiency, building, transport, China, data, industry, CO2 emissions reduction, Non-fossil fuels, Paris Agreement, modeling and pathways},
  author = {Nan Zhou and Lynn K Price and Dai Yande and Jon Creyts and Nina Khanna and David Fridley and Hongyou Lu and Wei Feng and Xu Liu and Ali Hasanbeigi and Zhiyu Tian and Hongwei Yang and Quan Bai and Yuezhong Zhu and Huawen Xiong and Jianguo Zhang and Kate Chrisman and Josh Agenbroad and Yi Ke and Robert McIntosh and David Mullaney and Clay Stranger and Eric Wanless and Daniel Wetzel and Cyril Yee and Ellen Franconi},
  title = {A roadmap for China to peak carbon dioxide emissions and achieve a 20% share of non-fossil fuels in primary energy by 2030},
  abstract = {<p>As part of its&nbsp;<em>Paris Agreement</em>&nbsp;commitment, China pledged to peak carbon dioxide (CO<sub>2</sub>) emissions around 2030, striving to peak earlier, and to increase the non-fossil share of primary energy to 20% by 2030. Yet by the end of 2017, China emitted 28% of the world’s energy-related CO<sub>2</sub>&nbsp;emissions, 76% of which were from coal use. How China can reinvent its energy economy cost-effectively while still achieving its commitments was the focus of a three-year joint research project completed in September 2016. Overall, this analysis found that if China follows a pathway in which it aggressively adopts all cost-effective energy efficiency and CO<sub>2</sub>&nbsp;emission reduction technologies while also aggressively moving away from fossil fuels to renewable and other non-fossil resources, it is possible to not only meet its&nbsp;<em>Paris Agreement</em>&nbsp;Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) commitments, but also to reduce its 2050 CO<sub>2</sub>&nbsp;emissions to a level that is 42% below the country’s 2010 CO<sub>2</sub>emissions. While numerous barriers exist that will need to be addressed through effective policies and programs in order to realize these potential energy use and emissions reductions, there are also significant local environmental (e.g., air quality), national and global environmental (e.g., mitigation of climate change), human health, and other unquantified benefits that will be realized if this pathway is pursued in China.</p>},
  year = {2019},
  journal = {Applied Energy},
  volume = {239},
  pages = {793 - 819},
  month = {04/2019},
  issn = {03062619},
  doi = {10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.154},
  language = {eng},
}